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<DIV>I'm not forwarding this to anyone likely to be a charter member of the John
Kerry fan club. I never saw much sense in preaching to the choir. And frankly,
this is the first sensible analysis I've heard from John Kerry in more than ten
years, perhaps thirty. But he is, in my seldom humble opinion, right on target
this time.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>I still remember with pride helping to design a leaflet in 1971,
publicizing the appearance of a member of Vietnam Veterans Against the War. We
quickly realized that we were going to draw the same old crowd of committed
activisits, unless... Unless our leaflet advertised "Electronic Warfare, the
Battlefield of the Future." We got a room full of American Legion and Veterans
of Foreign Wars guys. They gave the veteran a respectful hearing too. It didn't
change their minds, but it was a fruitful discussion.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Siarlys</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV></DIV>
<DIV style="BACKGROUND: none transparent scroll repeat 0% 0%" #cccccc\?>-----
Forwarded Message -----</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
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href="http://www.johnkerry.com/page/m2/7b9244a0/65899fd8/7a8648ea/26a6f155/3620037260/VEsH/"
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<P class=MsoNormal><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">With
the protests on the streets in Iran and a lot of hot rhetoric here
at home, I wanted to send a message about how careful we need to be
in the messages we're sending back around the world - so I penned
this OpEd for this morning's New York Times - especially to
flag the dangers of some of what we're hearing from the neocons who
dug us a very deep hole in the first place in American foreign
policy. Later today I'll be on Hardball with Chris Matthews and the
Situation Room with Wolf Blitzer to talk about this some more if
you'd like to tune in. -- JK</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal> </P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT size=3><A
href="http://www.johnkerry.com/page/m2/7b9244a0/65899fd8/7a8648ea/26a6f156/3620037260/VEsE/"
mce_href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/18/opinion/18kerry.html"><FONT
face="times new roman,times">LINK </FONT></A></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal> </P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">With
Iran, Think Before You Speak </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">By
John Kerry</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">June
18, 2009</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">The
grass-roots protests that have engulfed Iran since its presidential
election last week have grabbed America's attention and captured
headlines -- unfortunately, so has the clamor from neoconservatives
urging President Obama to denounce the voting as a sham and insert
ourselves directly in Iran's unrest. </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">No
less a figure than Senator John McCain, the Republican presidential
nominee in 2008, has denounced President Obama's response as
"tepid." He has also claimed that "if we are steadfast eventually
the Iranian people will prevail." </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">Mr.
McCain's rhetoric, of course, would be cathartic for any American
policy maker weary of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's hostile message of
division. We are all inspired by Iran's peaceful demonstrations, the
likes of which have not been seen there in three decades. Our
sympathies are with those Iranians who seek a more respectful,
cooperative relationship with the world. Watching heartbreaking
video images of Basij paramilitaries terrorizing protesters, we feel
the temptation to respond emotionally.</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">There's
just one problem. If we actually want to empower the Iranian people,
we have to understand how our words can be manipulated and used
against us to strengthen the clerical establishment, distract
Iranians from a failing economy and rally a fiercely independent
populace against outside interference. Iran's hard-liners are
already working hard to pin the election dispute, and the protests,
as the result of American meddling. On Wednesday, the Iranian
Foreign Ministry chastised American officials for "interventionist"
statements. Government complaints of slanted coverage by the foreign
press are rising in pitch.</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">We
can't escape the reality that for reformers in Tehran to have any
hope for success, Iran's election must be about Iran -- not America.
And if the street protests of the last days have taught us anything,
it is that this is an Iranian moment, not an American one.
</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">To
understand this, we need only listen to the demonstrators. Their
signs, slogans and Twitter postings say nothing about getting help
from Washington -- instead they are adapting the language of their
own revolution. When Iranians shout "Allahu Akbar" from rooftops,
they are repackaging the signature gesture of the 1979 Islamic
Revolution. </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">Mir
Hussein Moussavi, the leading reformist presidential candidate, has
advocated a more conciliatory approach to America. But his political
legitimacy comes from his revolutionary credentials for helping
overthrow an American-backed shah -- a history that today helps
protect protesters against accusations of being an American "fifth
column."</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">Iran's
internal change is happening on two levels: on the streets, but also
within the clerical establishment. Ultimately, no matter who wins
the election, our fundamental security challenge will be the same --
preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. That will take
patient effort, and premature engagement in Iran's domestic politics
may well make negotiations more difficult. </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">What
comes next in Iran is unclear. What is clear is that the tough talk
that Senator McCain advocates got us nowhere for the last eight
years. Our saber-rattling only empowered hard-liners and put
reformers on the defensive. An Iranian president who advocated a
"dialogue among civilizations" and societal reforms was replaced by
one who denied the Holocaust and routinely called for the
destruction of Israel.</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal> </P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">Meanwhile,
Iran's influence in the Middle East expanded and it made
considerable progress on its nuclear program. </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">The
last thing we should do is give Mr. Ahmadinejad an opportunity to
evoke the 1953 American-sponsored coup, which ousted Prime Minister
Mohammed Mossadegh and returned Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi to power.
Doing so would only allow him to cast himself as a modern-day
Mossadegh, standing up for principle against a Western
puppet.</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">Words
are important. President Obama has made that clear in devising a new
approach to Iran and the wider Muslim world. In offering negotiation
and conciliation, he has put the region's extremists on the
defensive.</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt">We
have seen the results of this new vision already. His outreach may
have helped to make a difference in the election last week in
Lebanon, where a pro-Western coalition surprised many by winning a
resounding victory. </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face="times new roman,times"><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"> </SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal><SPAN
style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt"><FONT
face="times new roman,times">We're seeing signs that it's having an
impact in Iran as well. Returning to harsh criticism now would only
erase this progress, empower hard-liners in Iran who want to see
negotiations fail and undercut those who have risen up in support of
a better relationship. </FONT></SPAN></P><BR><BR></DIV></TD>
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